PEI Population Report Quarterly
Population Report, Second Quarter 2020
DIAGRAM 1: PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND POPULATION, QUARTERLY, 2015 - 2020
On September 29, 2020 Statistics Canada published its provincial population estimates for the second quarter of 2020. The data shows Prince Edward Island’s population is estimated to be 159,625 as of July 1, 2020. This represents a yearly increase of 2,363 persons or a 1.5 per cent annual growth rate. This is the second highest year over year growth rate among provinces and territories, with Nunavut at 1.9 percent. This compares to a rate of 1.1 per cent for Canada as a whole.
The quarterly estimates since April 1, 2018 and growth rates for Canada and Prince Edward Island can be seen in Table 1.
TABLE 1: NATIONAL AND PROVINCIAL POPULATION & GROWTH RATES, QUARTERLY
|Canada||Prince Edward Island|
|Quarter||Population||Growth rate (%)||Population||Growth rate (%)|
|Apr. 1, 2018||36,898,490||0.3||152,039||0.3|
|Jul. 1, 2018||37,065,178||0.5||153,396||0.9|
|Oct. 1, 2018||37,249,240||0.5||155,129||1.1|
|Jan. 1, 2019||37,324,239||0.2||155,244||0.1|
|Apr. 1, 2019||37,417,155||0.2||155,833||0.4|
|Jul. 1, 2019||37,593,384||0.5||157,262||0.9|
|Oct. 1, 2019||37,802,043||0.6||158,334||0.7|
|Jan. 1, 2020||37,899,277||0.3||158,629||0.2|
|Apr. 1, 2020||37,979,854||0.2||159,249||0.4|
|Jul. 1, 2020||38,005,238||0.1||159,625||0.2|
Newfoundland and Labrador was the only jurisdiction that saw year-over-year population decline (July 1, 2020 compared to July 1, 2019). Population estimates for July 1, 2019 and 2020 for all provinces and territories are shown in Table 2 below. The population growth rates for the twelve-month period ending June 30, 2020 are also included.
TABLE 2: POPULATION OF PROVINCES & TERRITORIES, JULY 1, 2019, 2020 & ANNUAL GROWTH RATES
|Jul 1, 2019||Jul 1, 2020||Growth||Level|
Components of Growth
The total increase in PEI’s population from April 1, 2020 to July 1, 2020 was 376 people.
There were 340 births and 351 deaths on Prince Edward Island from April 1, 2020 to June 30, 2020, resulting in natural growth (births minus deaths) of -11.
International immigration decreased by 42.1 per cent in the second quarter of 2020 compared to the first quarter of 2020 and was down 52.4 per cent compared to the same period in 2019. This was due to restrictions being put in place to enter the province during the second quarter due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
During the second quarter, 286 international immigrants came to the province, as compared to 494 the previous quarter. At a rate of 1.8 per thousand , the province had the highest quarterly immigration rate in the country. The immigration rate for Canada was 0.9 per thousand.
Net international migration was estimated to be 387 persons during the second quarter of 2020. This consisted of the 286 international immigrants and 101 non-permanent residents (net) entering the province. There were no international emigrants, temporarily abroad Canadians, or returning Canadians during the second quarter due to the pandemic restrictions. The number of net international immigrants coming to PEI over the last 12 month period (July 2019 to June 2020) was 2,839. This compares to 3,285 over the previous 12 month period.
Net non-permanent residents (NPRs) was 101 for the second quarter of 2020, following -67 for the first quarter of 2020. NPRs include foreign workers, foreign students, the humanitarian population and other temporary residents. The humanitarian population includes refugee claimants and temporary residents who are allowed to remain in Canada on humanitarian grounds and are not categorized as either foreign workers or foreign students.
A total of 1,274 inter-provincial migrants came to PEI in the second quarter of 2020, while 1,274 people also left the province for other areas of Canada, for net zero interprovincial gain. This compares to a net gain of 419 persons over the same period in 2019. As shown in Table 3, the primary source of PEI’s inter-provincial in-migrants during this period was from Ontario, followed by Nova Scotia and Alberta. The main destinations of out-migrants from Prince Edward Island were to Ontario, Nova Scotia, and New Brunswick. Nova Scotia, New Brunswick, British Columbia, Yukon, and Nunavut all saw positive net interprovincial migration over the second quarter of 2020. 32.0 per cent of all interprovincial migrants from other provinces were destined for Ontario.
TABLE 3: ORIGIN & DESTINATION OF INTER-PROVINCIAL MIGRANTS, APRIL 1, 2020 TO JUNE 30, 2020
TABLE 4: PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND QUARTERLY POPULATION AND COMPONENTS OF GROWTH JANUARY 1 2018 – JULY 1 2020
|Quarter||Population||(+) Births||(-) Deaths||(+) Immigrants||(+) Other International*||(+) Interprovincial In-Migration||(-) Interprovincial Out-Migration|
|Jan 1, 2018||151,516||290||381||489||131||689||695|
|Apr 1, 2018||152,039||341||340||525||423||1,624||1,216|
|Jul 1, 2018||153,396||355||313||685||919||971||884|
|Oct 1, 2018||155,129||328||335||437||-338||533||510|
|Jan 1, 2019||155,244||299||392||544||5||793||660|
|Apr 1, 2019||155,833||326||349||601||432||1,510||1,091|
|Jul 1, 2019||157,262||378||323||855||706||604||1,148|
|Oct 1, 2019||158,334||323||343||447||20||726||878|
|Jan 1, 2020||158,629||312||350||494||-70||955||721|
|Apr 1, 2020||159,249||340||351||286||101||1,274||1,274|
|Jul 1, 2020||159,625|
Impact of COVID-19 on the Population Estimates
Related downloads for this release:
PEI Population Report Quarterly PDF (179KB)
Notes: Current population estimates are now based on the 2016 Census.
Source: Statistics Canada
Table 17-10-0009-01, Estimates of population, Canada, provinces and territories, quarterly (persons)
Table 17-10-0040-01, International migration components, Canada, provinces and territories, quarterly (persons)
Table 17-10-0020-01, Interprovincial migrants, Canada, provinces and territories, quarterly (persons)
Table 17-10-0045-01, Estimates of interprovincial migrants by province or territory of origin and destination, quarterly (persons)
Table 17-10-0059-01, Estimates of the components of natural increase, Canada, provinces and territories, quarterly (number)
Prepared by PEI Statistics Bureau