PEI Population Report Quarterly

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Population Report, First Quarter 2023

DIAGRAM 1: PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND POPULATION, QUARTERLY, 2018 - 2023

On June 28, 2023 Statistics Canada published its provincial population estimates for the first quarter of 2023. The data shows Prince Edward Island’s population was estimated to be 176,113 as of April 1, 2023. This represents a yearly increase of 7,755 persons or a 4.6 per cent annual growth rate. This is the largest year-over-year population increase for PEI on record (since 1951). This is also the highest year-over-year growth rate among provinces and territories, ahead of Alberta and Nova Scotia, which were 4.5 per cent and 4.0 per cent respectively. This compares to a rate of 3.1 per cent for Canada as a whole.

The quarterly estimates since January 1, 2021 and growth rates for Canada and Prince Edward Island can be seen in Table 1.

TABLE 1: NATIONAL AND PROVINCIAL POPULATION & GROWTH RATES, QUARTERLY

  Canada Prince Edward Island
Quarter Population Growth rate (%) Population Growth rate (%)
Jan. 1, 2021 38,043,450 0.1 161,662 0.1
Apr. 1, 2021 38,124,373 0.2 162,866 0.7
Jul. 1, 2021 38,226,498 0.3 164,758 1.2
Oct. 1, 2021 38,426,473 0.5 166,435 1.0
Jan. 1, 2022 38,516,138 0.2 166,858 0.3
Apr. 1, 2022 38,644,920 0.3 168,358 0.9
Jul. 1, 2022 38,929,902 0.7 170,688 1.4
Oct. 1, 2022 39,292,355 0.9 172,707 1.2
Jan. 1, 2023 39,566,248 0.7 173,954 0.7
Apr. 1, 2023 39,858,480 0.7 176,113 1.2

Northwest Territories was the only jurisdiction to see a year-over-year population decline (April 1, 2023 compared to April 1, 2022). Population estimates for April 1, 2022 and 2023 for all provinces and territories are shown in Table 2 below. The population growth rates and level change for the twelve-month period ending March 31, 2023 are also included.

TABLE 2: POPULATION OF PROVINCES & TERRITORIES, APRIL 1, 2022, 2023 & ANNUAL GROWTH RATES

  Apr 1, 2022 Apr 1, 2023 Growth Level
CAN 38,644,920 39,858,480 3.1% 1,213,560
NL 523,043 533,710 2.0% 10,667
PEI 168,358 176,113 4.6% 7,755
NS 1,007,360 1,047,232 4.0% 39,872
NB 802,862 831,618 3.6% 28,756
QC 8,650,692 8,831,257 2.1% 180,565
ON 14,996,014 15,500,632 3.4% 504,618
MB 1,401,967 1,444,190 3.0% 42,223
SK 1,188,338 1,221,439 2.8% 33,101
AB 4,502,858 4,703,772 4.5% 200,914
BC 5,273,809 5,437,722 3.1% 163,913
YK 43,518 44,412 2.1% 894
NWT 45,698 45,668 -0.1% -30
NU 40,403 40,715 0.8% 312

Components of Growth

The total increase in PEI’s population during the first quarter of 2023 (January 1, 2023 to March 31, 2023) was 2,159 people, the second highest quarterly increase on record. (The third quarter of 2022 saw PEI’s population increase by 2,330.)

Natural Increase

There were 424 births and 375 deaths on Prince Edward Island from January 1, 2023 to March 31, 2023, resulting in natural growth (births minus deaths) of +49.

International Migration

During first quarter 2023, 1,274 international immigrants came to the province, the most on current record for one quarter. This is up 95.4 per cent on a year-over-year basis as compared to the first quarter of 2022. At a rate of 7.3 per thousand , the province had the second highest quarterly immigration rate in the country, behind Yukon at 7.7 per thousand. The immigration rate for Canada was 3.7 per thousand.

Net international migration was estimated to be 1,320 persons during the first quarter of 2023. This consisted of the aforementioned 1,274 international immigrants plus 66 non-permanent residents (net), and 13 returning Canadians entering the province, while 22 international emigrants and 11 temporarily abroad Canadians left the province. Net international migration for PEI over the last 12-month period (April 2022 to March 2023) was 5,671. This compares to 2,959 over the previous 12-month period.

Net non-permanent residents (NPRs)  was +66 for the first quarter of 2023, following +437 for the fourth quarter of 2022. NPRs include foreign workers, foreign students, the humanitarian population and other temporary residents. The humanitarian population includes refugee claimants and temporary residents who are allowed to remain in Canada on humanitarian grounds and are not categorized as either foreign workers or foreign students.

Inter-provincial Migration

A total of 1,879 inter-provincial migrants came to PEI during the first quarter of 2023, while 1,089 people left the province for other areas of Canada, for a net interprovincial gain of 790. This compares to a net gain of 808 persons over the same period in 2022. As shown in Table 3, the primary source of PEI’s inter-provincial in-migrants during this period was from Ontario, followed by Nova Scotia and New Brunswick. The main destinations of out-migrants from Prince Edward Island were Ontario, Alberta, and Nova Scotia. 37.0 per cent of all interprovincial migrants from other provinces were destined for Alberta.

TABLE 3: ORIGIN & DESTINATION OF INTER-PROVINCIAL MIGRANTS, JANUARY 1, 2023 TO MARCH 31, 2023

  DESTINATION
ORIGIN N.L. P.E.I. N.S. N.B. Que. Ont. Man. Sask. Alta. B.C. Y.T. N.W.T. Nvt.
N.L. 0 36 128 339 115 724 65 73 809 127 15 46 15
P.E.I. 30 0 145 94 35 485 0 5 234 61 0 0 0
N.S. 245 286 0 676 145 1,316 93 68 896 398 8 68 66
N.B. 91 198 662 0 432 1,069 83 110 647 264 0 0 12
Que. 55 79 360 603 0 3,675 105 59 914 727 6 6 81
Ont. 1,122 973 3,843 2,823 4,056 0 1,661 1,075 11,564 5,299 155 266 231
Man. 49 26 135 88 258 1,706 0 476 1,945 1,585 5 0 34
Sask. 15 33 121 112 108 1,314 402 0 3,251 1,501 37 31 10
Alta. 510 108 633 415 558 3,871 683 1,630 0 6,506 70 199 62
B.C. 111 125 805 323 622 3,708 469 980 10,006 0 57 148 5
Y.T. 16 0 21 5 6 79 5 32 254 63 0 34 20
N.W.T. 38 0 43 20 30 128 13 13 462 93 59 0 22
Nvt. 20 15 59 50 48 261 41 28 49 23 32 74 0
 
N.L. P.E.I. N.S. N.B. Que. Ont. Man. Sask. Alta. B.C. Y.T. N.W.T. Nvt.
IN 2,302 1,879 6,955 5,548 6,413 18,336 3,620 4,549 31,031 16,647 444 872 558
OUT 2,492 1,089 4,265 3,568 6,670 33,068 6,307 6,935 15,245 17,359 535 921 700
NET -190 790 2,690 1,980 -257 -14,732 -2,687 -2,386 15,786 -712 -91 -49 -142

Prince Edward Island quarterly components of growth from October 1, 2020 to April 1, 2023 can be seen in table 4.

TABLE 4: PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND QUARTERLY POPULATION AND COMPONENTS OF GROWTH OCTOBER 1 2020 – APRIL 1 2023

Quarter Population (+) Births (-) Deaths (+) Immigrants (+) Other International* (+) Interprovincial In-Migration (-) Interprovincial Out-Migration
Oct 1, 2020 161,455 327 316 259 67 480 610
Jan 1, 2021 161,662 371 341 366 335 1,196 723
Apr 1, 2021 162,866 375 366 328 608 1,948 1,001
Jul 1, 2021 164,758 366 290 1,068 120 1,396 983
Oct 1, 2021 166,435 352 364 851 -700 983 699
Jan 1, 2022 166,858 388 380 652 32 1,525 717
Apr 1, 2022 168,358 393 409 865 726 2,366 1,611
Jul 1, 2022 170,688 390 408 837 1,198 1,073 1,071
Oct 1, 2022 172,707 375 386 312 413 1,323 790
Jan 1, 2023 173,954 424 375 1,274 46 1,879 1,089
Apr 1, 2023 176,113  

Related downloads for this release:

PEI Population Report Quarterly PDF (179KB)

Notes:

These are preliminary data that will be revised over the coming year.

These estimates are based on 2016 Census of Population counts, adjusted for census net undercoverage and incompletely enumerated Indian reserves. To these counts, the population growth estimates for the period from May 10, 2016, to the date of the estimate are added. They are not to be confused with the 2021 Census of Population counts released on February 9, 2022. Population estimates based on the 2021 Census results will be disseminated in September 2023, when census coverage study results will become available.

 
Immigration rates are calculated by the PEI Statistics Bureau based on Statistics Canada population estimates.
NPR estimates are based on the number of NPRs, not on the net. The number of people in IRCC’s administrative system is estimated on a specific date in each period of observation. First, the end-of-period number of NPR is estimated, and then the start-of-period number of NPR is subtracted from that estimate. That yields the net number of NPR.
Source: Statistics Canada

Table 17-10-0009-01, Estimates of population, Canada, provinces and territories, quarterly (persons)

Table 17-10-0040-01, International migration components, Canada, provinces and territories, quarterly (persons)

Table 17-10-0020-01, Interprovincial migrants, Canada, provinces and territories, quarterly (persons)

Table 17-10-0045-01, Estimates of interprovincial migrants by province or territory of origin and destination, quarterly (persons)

Table 17-10-0059-01, Estimates of the components of natural increase, Canada, provinces and territories, quarterly (number)

Prepared by  PEI Statistics Bureau

Date de publication : 
le 28 Juin 2023
Finances

Renseignements généraux

Ministère des Finances
Immeuble Shaw, 2e étage (sud)
95, rue Rochford
C.P. 2000
Charlottetown (Î.-P.-É.) C1A 7N8

Téléphone : 902-368-4040
Télécopieur : 902-368-6575

DeptFinance@gov.pe.ca