PEI Population Report Quarterly

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Population Report, Second Quarter 2021

DIAGRAM 1: PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND POPULATION, QUARTERLY, 2016 - 2021

TABLE 1: NATIONAL AND PROVINCIAL POPULATION & GROWTH RATES, QUARTERLY

	Canada		Prince Edward Island
Quarter	Population	Growth rate (%)	Population	Growth rate (%)
Apr. 1, 2019	37,422,946	0.3	155,916	0.4
Jul. 1, 2019	37,601,230	0.5	157,419	1.0
Oct. 1, 2019	37,811,399	0.6	158,778	0.9
Jan. 1, 2020	37,908,599	0.3	159,387	0.4
Apr. 1, 2020	38,000,056	0.2	160,417	0.6
Jul. 1, 2020	38,037,204	0.1	161,329	0.6
Oct. 1, 2020	38,033,014	0.0	161,402	0.0
Jan. 1, 2021	38,068,872	0.1	161,514	0.1
Apr. 1, 2021	38,153,211	0.2	162,596	0.7
Jul. 1, 2021	38,246,108	0.2	164,318	1.1

Newfoundland and Labrador was the only jurisdictions to see a year-over-year population decline (July 1, 2021 compared to July 1, 2020). Population estimates for July 1, 2020 and 2021 for all provinces and territories are shown in Table 2 below. The population growth rates and level change for the twelve-month period ending June 30, 2021 are also included.

TABLE 2: POPULATION OF PROVINCES & TERRITORIES, JULY 1, 2020, 2021 & ANNUAL GROWTH RATES

	Jul 1, 2020	Jul 1, 2021	Growth	Level
CAN	38,037,204	38,246,108	0.5%	208,904
NL	521,364	520,553	-0.2%	-811
PEI	161,329	164,318	1.9%	2,989
NS	981,889	992,055	1.0%	10,166
NB	783,204	789,225	0.8%	6,021
QC	8,578,300	8,604,495	0.3%	26,195
ON	14,745,712	14,826,276	0.5%	80,564
MB	1,380,648	1,383,765	0.2%	3,117
SK	1,179,300	1,179,844	0.0%	544
AB	4,420,029	4,442,879	0.5%	22,850
BC	5,158,728	5,214,805	1.1%	56,077
YK	42,174	42,986	1.9%	812
NWT	45,372	45,504	0.3%	132
NU	39,155	39,403	0.6%	248

Components of Growth

The total increase in PEI’s population from April 1, 2021 to June 30, 2021 was 1,722 people.

Natural Increase

There were 328 births and 386 deaths on Prince Edward Island from April 1, 2021 to June 30, 2021, resulting in natural growth (births minus deaths) of minus 58.

International Migration

The effects of the Covid-19 pandemic on international migration has been evident since the second quarter of 2020. International immigration decreased by 10.8 per cent in the third quarter of 2020 compared to the second quarter of 2020, following a decline of 42.1 per cent in the second quarter. Immigration during the fourth quarter of 2020 remained steady compared to the previous quarter but was down 42.3 per cent compared to the same period in 2019.

During second quarter of 2021, 328 international immigrants came to the province, as compared to 368 the previous quarter. Immigration was up on a year-over-year basis, rising 15.9 per cent as compared to the second quarter of 2020. At a rate of 2.0 per thousand , the province had the fourth highest quarterly immigration rate in the country, behind Yukon at 3.6 per thousand, Ontario at 2.6 per thousand, and British Columbia at 2.4 per thousand. The immigration rate for Canada was 1.9 per thousand.

Net international migration was estimated to be 911 persons during the second quarter of 2021. This consisted of the 328 international immigrants, 604 non-permanent residents (net), and 5 returning Canadians entering the province, while 22 international emigrants and 4 temporarily abroad Canadians left the province. Net international migration for PEI over the last 12-month period (July 2020 to June 2021) was 2,075. This compares to 2,825 over the previous 12-month period.

Net non-permanent residents (NPRs) was +604 for the second quarter of 2021, following +324 for the first quarter. NPRs include foreign workers, foreign students, the humanitarian population and other temporary residents. The humanitarian population includes refugee claimants and temporary residents who are allowed to remain in Canada on humanitarian grounds and are not categorized as either foreign workers or foreign students.

Inter-provincial Migration

A total of 2,116 inter-provincial migrants came to PEI during the second quarter of 2021, while 1,247 people left the province for other areas of Canada, for a net interprovincial gain of 869. This compares to a net gain of 513 persons over the same period in 2020. As shown in Table 3, the primary source of PEI’s inter-provincial in-migrants during this period was from Ontario, followed by Nova Scotia and New Brunswick. The main destinations of out-migrants from Prince Edward Island were also Ontario, Nova Scotia and New Brunswick. 29.9 per cent of all interprovincial migrants from other provinces were destined for British Columbia.

TABLE 3: ORIGIN & DESTINATION OF INTER-PROVINCIAL MIGRANTS, APRIL 1, 2021 TO JUNE 30, 2021

	DESTINATION
ORIGIN	N.L.	P.E.I.	N.S.	N.B.	Que.	Ont.	Man.	Sask.	Alta.	B.C.	Y.T.	N.W.T.	Nvt.
N.L.	0	10	340	255	101	713	13	31	511	269	6	24	35
P.E.I.	66	0	187	259	59	391	53	14	63	94	50	0	11
N.S.	325	266	0	631	295	1,453	91	88	677	640	57	37	25
N.B.	117	189	925	0	748	782	57	26	504	383	9	0	12
Que.	134	112	310	719	0	5,798	152	120	960	1,682	31	5	75
Ont.	1,239	1,147	4,687	2,830	6,812	0	1,434	1,198	7,610	9,671	153	207	218
Man.	16	37	195	86	363	2,070	0	670	2,072	2,200	8	10	42
Sask.	57	54	177	74	186	1,979	619	0	3,341	2,224	30	12	3
Alta.	794	176	1,516	670	1,129	6,722	946	2,298	0	14,447	116	162	110
B.C.	233	112	809	301	900	4,917	704	890	7,462	0	150	122	36
Y.T.	0	0	4	7	7	142	33	15	71	164	0	10	3
N.W.T.	63	0	53	30	88	127	18	44	286	101	50	0	31
Nvt.	70	13	60	35	36	255	36	0	82	51	6	48	0

	N.L.	P.E.I.	N.S.	N.B.	Que.	Ont.	Man.	Sask.	Alta.	B.C.	Y.T.	N.W.T.	Nvt.
IN	3,114	2,116	9,263	5,897	10,724	25,349	4,156	5,394	23,639	31,926	666	637	601
OUT	2,308	1,247	4,585	3,752	10,098	37,206	7,769	8,756	29,086	16,636	456	891	692
NET	806	869	4,678	2,145	626	-11,857	-3,613	-3,362	-5,447	15,290	210	-254	-91

TABLE 4: PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND QUARTERLY POPULATION AND COMPONENTS OF GROWTH JANUARY 1 2019 – JULY 1 2021

Quarter	Population	(+) Births	(-) Deaths	(+) Immigrants	(+) Other International*	(+) Interprovincial In-Migration	(-) Interprovincial Out-Migration
Jan 1, 2019	155,254	299	331	544	17	793	660
Apr 1, 2019	155,916	325	347	601	505	1,510	1,091
Jul 1, 2019	157,419	378	353	855	687	845	1,053
Oct 1, 2019	158,778	323	349	447	-33	1,011	790
Jan 1, 2020	159,387	319	360	494	-47	1,290	666
Apr 1, 2020	160,417	324	347	283	139	1,651	1,138
Jul 1, 2020	161,329	339	328	256	-62	646	778
Oct 1, 2020	161,402	327	329	259	35	530	710
Jan 1, 2021	161,514	323	350	368	308	1,298	865
Apr 1, 2021	162,596	328	386	328	583	2,116	1,247
Jul 1, 2021	164,318

Related downloads for this release:

PEI Population Report Quarterly PDF (179KB)

Notes: Current population estimates are now based on the 2016 Census.

Immigration rates are calculated by the PEI Statistics Bureau based on Statistics Canada population estimates.

NPR estimates are based on the number of NPRs, not on the net. The number of people in IRCC’s administrative system is estimated on a specific date in each period of observation. First, the end-of-period number of NPR is estimated, and then the start-of-period number of NPR is subtracted from that estimate. That yields the net number of NPR.

Source: Statistics Canada

Table 17-10-0009-01, Estimates of population, Canada, provinces and territories, quarterly (persons)

Table 17-10-0040-01, International migration components, Canada, provinces and territories, quarterly (persons)

Table 17-10-0020-01, Interprovincial migrants, Canada, provinces and territories, quarterly (persons)

Table 17-10-0045-01, Estimates of interprovincial migrants by province or territory of origin and destination, quarterly (persons)

Table 17-10-0059-01, Estimates of the components of natural increase, Canada, provinces and territories, quarterly (number)

Prepared by PEI Statistics Bureau

Date de publication :

le 29 Septembre 2021

Renseignements généraux

Ministère des Finances
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