Prince Edward Island releases COVID-19 modeling

Chief Public Health Officer, Dr. Heather Morrison, says although models are not crystal balls to predict what will happen, they do help to inform planning and support decision making.

“Although we are still in the early stages of this pandemic, the actions of Islanders appear to be making a difference,” said Dr. Heather Morrison. “PEI has fared better to date than many other provinces and territories and likely due to the strong public health measures put in place early on in the pandemic.”

Prince Edward Island has 25 confirmed positive cases of COVID-19, 23 of which are considered recovered.

Projections by June 1, 2020:

  • Total hospital stays are estimated to be 120 with strong controls in place, and 14,000 with mild controls in place.
  • Acute care bed needs are estimated to be 15 with strong controls in place, and 3,250 with mild controls in place.
  • Critical care bed needs are estimated to be 4 with strong controls in place, and 840 with mild control measures in place.
  • Total fatalities are estimated to be 9 with strong controls in place, and 900 with mild controls in place.

Dr. Morrison said next steps in modelling are to assess scenarios for modifying public health measures and testing strategies, to control the epidemic without overwhelming our health system.

Premier Dennis King said the numbers demonstrate just how serious this pandemic is and why Islanders have been working so hard together to mitigate and contain the spread of COVID-19. Islanders should continue to adhere to public health advice, as we look toward the time when an ease back plan can be implemented. Premier King recognized that although the health needs of Islanders come first, there are other needs to be considered, such as social economic, community and education.

“I am proud of the measures we have put in place and the cooperation we have had from Islanders,” said Premier King. “We have been successful to date because we are taking the Island approach of being in this together and we need to continue that approach in the name of reducing illness and saving lives in our province.”

For answers to general questions about COVID-19 call 1-833-533-9333 or www.princeedwardisland.ca/covid19.


The Chief Public Health Office continues to work closely with the federal government, provincial and territorial counterparts, government departments and Health PEI to continue to monitor the situation globally, nationally and locally. The public health risk of COVID-19 is continually reassessed and Islanders will be updated as new information becomes available.

Government’s special situation response group also continues to work collaboratively with the Chief Public Health Office, stakeholders and community partners in preparing for all impacts related to COVID-19 to the province, including health, social and economic.

Everyone is encouraged to follow routine prevention measures:

  • Washing hands frequently with soap and water
  • Cough and sneeze into your elbow or a tissue
  • If ill with acute respiratory symptoms, stay home if possible
  • Limit touching your eyes, nose and mouth
  • Don’t share items like drinking glasses and water bottles
  • Frequently clean surfaces like taps, doorknobs and countertops

Media Contact:
Samantha Hughes
Health and Wellness
(902) 368-5610


General Inquiries

Department of Health and Wellness
4th Floor North, Shaw Building
105 Rochford Street
Charlottetown, PE   C1A 7N8

Phone: 902-368-6414
Fax: 902-368-4121